Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.029915 0.035475 0.041266 0.047710 0.054641 0.061841 0.069852
2025-11-23 0.019836 0.027443 0.035943 0.045951 0.057245 0.069451 0.083507
2025-11-30 0.014769 0.023529 0.033923 0.046711 0.061638 0.078202 0.097691
2025-12-07 0.011464 0.020929 0.032792 0.047926 0.066065 0.086591 0.111114
2025-12-14 0.009366 0.019412 0.032623 0.049983 0.071219 0.095602 0.125060
2025-12-21 0.007261 0.017451 0.031581 0.050720 0.074605 0.102409 0.136346
2025-12-28 0.006710 0.017657 0.033312 0.054871 0.082061 0.113939 0.153052
2026-01-04 0.004600 0.014955 0.030797 0.053366 0.082428 0.116971 0.159775
2026-01-11 0.003544 0.013771 0.030255 0.054317 0.085745 0.123443 0.170461
2026-01-18 0.002565 0.012441 0.029344 0.054661 0.088216 0.128836 0.179824
2026-01-25 0.001802 0.011281 0.028551 0.055070 0.090699 0.134190 0.189099
2026-02-01 0.001146 0.010053 0.027506 0.055030 0.092532 0.138698 0.197319
2026-02-08 0.000430 0.008036 0.025000 0.052901 0.091726 0.140117 0.202074
2026-02-15 0.000072 0.006328 0.022751 0.050995 0.091136 0.141772 0.207120
2026-02-22 0.000004 0.005683 0.022354 0.051790 0.094125 0.147885 0.217563
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005248 0.022299 0.053070 0.097752 0.154789 0.228963
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005108 0.022822 0.055238 0.102586 0.163221 0.242235
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004599 0.022485 0.056015 0.105484 0.169179 0.252464
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005091 0.024392 0.060382 0.113366 0.181505 0.270537
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004016 0.022628 0.058800 0.112947 0.183199 0.275499
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003667 0.022480 0.059799 0.116109 0.189466 0.286094
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003208 0.021969 0.060161 0.118351 0.194535 0.295195
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002805 0.021521 0.060591 0.120666 0.199683 0.304386